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The role of intelligence

[]M. FORM NO.1479

TOP MOST SECRET ULTRA

TO BE KEPT UNDER LOCK AND KEY AND NEVER TO BE REMOVED FROM THE OFFICE. THIS FORM TO BE USED FOR AIR INTELLIGENCE MESSAGES ONLY.

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PAGE FOUR. CX/MSS/T183/84 (CONTINUED).


Enemy mining from the air remained lively with Schwerpunkt [the main emphasis] off submarine bases, Lezardrieux and against Channel Island narrows. Agents' reports, apart from a plethora of landing dates which mainly point to the first half of May, yielded no special information.

C[ommander] in C[hief] West appreciates the situation as follows:

Invasion-preparations by the Anglo-Americans in the English Motherland are completed. Despite the fact that visual and photo recce [reconnaissance] has not yet been able to include the whole of the English south coast, the observed concentrations of landing shipping space, especially in the area north of the Isle of Wight (Portsmouth-Southampton), nevertheless give a clear picture of a main concentration defining itself in that area. Tonnage of shipping space for landings which has so far been observed can be assumed to be sufficient for 12 to 13 divisions (without heavy equipment and rear elements) for fairly short sea-routes.

Taken altogether, and including an estimate of the capacity of the other English south-coast harbours which have so far not been…

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